There has been a lot of rumors and discussion regarding Gremlins 3 actually being a remake or reboot instead of a sequel, and looking at the current Hollywood climate, it sure seems likely, but why?
Logically a remake would attract more theatregoers than Gremlins 3 would.
Fans of the gremlins franchise will see anything Gremlins in the theatre, be it Gremlins 3 or a remake/reboot. So those are guaranteed customers and do not factor in to the math.
However, as it has been nearly 20 years since we have last seen Gremlins in any form (commercials, games, and DVD releases not withstanding) there is an entire generation of potential ticket sales that have never even seen Gremlins in the media. Those customers are unlikely to see a sequel to a movie they never have seen before. Sure some might rent the previous films but they frankly do not have the legacy that other long-dormant movie franchises (like Ghostbusters) do.
Let’s try it this way:
Say there are a million people who are guaranteed ticket sales. They love the previous movies, and would absolutely see a new one in the theatre, regardless of it being a reboot or sequel.
Remake: 1 Million
Sequel: 1 Million
Now let’s take the rest of the moviegoing poulation, and pretend it is 10 million more people. They are undecided.
Undecided: 10m
Remake: 1m
Sequel: 1m
Of that 10m undecided a good number are going to be under the age of 18, as most people who make up the bulk of ticket sales are youth. Let’s number them at 7 Million.
Undecided Adults: 3m
Undecided Youth: 7m
Remake: 1m
Sequel: 1m
Here is where we diverge.
(more after the jump!)
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